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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +43.24₸

Invest 897.79₸

Average return 941.03₸

ROI +4.8%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 2 166.68 ₸, profit at most −1 225.70 ₸

float premium: at least 1 122 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4783

598.31 ₸

at 149.58

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

299.48 ₸

at 49.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 897.79 ₸ +43.24 (+4.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4783

598.31 ₸

at 149.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

228.57 ₸

at 228.57

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

249.57 ₸

at 49.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 076.45 ₸ +26.80 (+2.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4783

598.31 ₸

at 149.58

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

457.14 ₸

at 228.57

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

199.65 ₸

at 49.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 255.11 ₸ +10.42 (+0.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 16%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 8%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

426.38 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

192.93 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Field-Tested

float up to 0.201923

365.07 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

408.59 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Field-Tested

float up to 0.201923

285.76 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.173076

919.33 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

783.75 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 380.80 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144230

1 918.31 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.287115

1 006.79 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −82.25 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.21 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build