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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −500.10₴

Invest at least 911.02₴

Average return 410.92₴

ROI −54.9%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 911.02 ₴, profit at most −500.10 ₴

float premium: at least 502 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

22.66 ₴

at 22.66

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

204.12 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

154.56 ₴

at 77.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 381.34 ₴ +29.58 (+7.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

22.66 ₴

at 22.66

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

100.36 ₴

at 50.18

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

540.97 ₴

at 77.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 663.99 ₴ +135.57 (+20.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

45.31 ₴

at 22.66

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

145.80 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

231.84 ₴

at 77.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 422.96 ₴ +43.49 (+10.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

174.96 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

50.18 ₴

at 50.18

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

231.84 ₴

at 77.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 456.98 ₴ +64.98 (+14.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 74%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

299.24 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

178.51 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

843.78 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.051470

302.99 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.192499

99.80 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.043676

398.74 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

580.91 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 650.80 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

302.94 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −24.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build