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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +14.78₴

Invest 441.53₴

Average return 456.31₴

ROI +3.4%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 1 056.14 ₴, profit at most −599.83 ₴

float premium: at least 608 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3858

134.49 ₴

at 33.62

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

241.50 ₴

at 48.30

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

65.54 ₴

at 65.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 441.53 ₴ +14.78 (+3.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

275.84 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.063999

1 062.25 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

225.87 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Cartel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

624.73 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

413.23 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Tranquility

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

629.21 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −60.84 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10.05 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2926758 · The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 14.64₴ · invest 483.52₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Well-Worn) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383891 instead of 0.385872; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162786 instead of 0.169295
Craft 2926443 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 14.09₴ · invest 465.25₴
rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384017 instead of 0.385872; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163201 instead of 0.169295

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build