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The Harlequin Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −91.50₴

Invest at least 258.39₴

Average return 166.88₴

ROI −35.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 258.39 ₴, profit at most −91.50 ₴

float premium: at least 147 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

39.22 ₴

at 9.80

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

49.32 ₴

at 9.86

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

20.29 ₴

at 20.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.82 ₴ +58.06 (+53.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

227.99 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

183.26 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

222.52 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.207857

39.11 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

23.21 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139285

37.51 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Cyber Shell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.182142

20.32 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +37.90 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.96 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2932815 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 60.06₴ · invest 105.90₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2921510 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 59.53₴ · invest 104.59₴
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161800 instead of 0.161753; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161800 instead of 0.161753
Craft 2932824 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 57.71₴ · invest 111.27₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2915600 · The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 56.28₴ · invest 114.91₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161625 instead of 0.161753; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161625 instead of 0.161753
Craft 2932683 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 54.76₴ · invest 109.20₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161840 instead of 0.161753; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161840 instead of 0.161753

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build