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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −149.25₴

Invest at least 333.76₴

Average return 184.51₴

ROI −44.7%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 333.76 ₴, profit at most −149.25 ₴

float premium: at least 192 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

69.04 ₴

at 9.86

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

37.65 ₴

at 18.82

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

34.49 ₴

at 34.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.18 ₴ +43.33 (+30.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

59.18 ₴

at 9.86

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

37.65 ₴

at 18.82

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

68.99 ₴

at 34.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.81 ₴ +24.41 (+14.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

49.32 ₴

at 9.86

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

37.65 ₴

at 18.82

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

103.48 ₴

at 34.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.45 ₴ +5.49 (+2.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

227.99 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

183.26 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.069285

387.47 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Griffin

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171428

142.01 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145714

491.35 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

64.29 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.72 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2919662 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 45.90₴ · invest 121.29₴
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163600 instead of 0.166550; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074730 instead of 0.075756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build