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The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +34.55$

Invest 45.57$

Average return 80.12$

ROI +75.8%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 103.42 $, profit at most −23.30 $

float premium: at least 56 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

4.13 $

at 1.03

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

22.84 $

at 7.61

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

18.60 $

at 6.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.57 $ +34.55 (+75.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

3.10 $

at 1.03

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

3.52 $

at 3.52

Steam

×6

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

37.20 $

at 6.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.81 $ +30.74 (+70.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

1.02 $

at 1.02

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

1.03 $

at 1.03

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

7.03 $

at 3.52

Steam

×6

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

37.20 $

at 6.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.28 $ +26.87 (+58.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1.03 $

at 1.03

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

14.06 $

at 3.52

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

31.00 $

at 6.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.09 $ +25.67 (+55.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 43%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 10%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

32.21 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.05 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

18.57 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120.97 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Toybox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68.80 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

53.01 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 only The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2933025 · The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 33.89$ · invest 53.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2931449 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 33.00$ · invest 48.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003595 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933513 · The Horizon Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 32.55$ · invest 52.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004967 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933167 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 31.79$ · invest 39.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161874 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003614 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933251 · The Horizon Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 30.72$ · invest 45.16$
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163910 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004233 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933400 · The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 29.50$ · invest 49.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161613 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003534 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2920683 · The Chroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 28.82$ · invest 42.19$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933555 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 27.70$ · invest 44.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162730 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003874 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2909027 · The Achroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 26.69$ · invest 44.92$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164024 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004268 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933151 · The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 26.67$ · invest 47.05$
sells slowly

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004320 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933569 · The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 26.61$ · invest 49.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004141
Craft 2933504 · The Horizon Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 26.51$ · invest 37.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164269 instead of 0.163609; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004343 instead of 0.004141

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build