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The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +121.44₽

Invest 402.91₽

Average return 524.35₽

ROI +30.1%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 1 036.48 ₽, profit at most −512.13 ₽

float premium: at least 594 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

49.30 ₽

at 49.30

Steam

×9

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

353.61 ₽

at 39.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 402.91 ₽ +121.44 (+30.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 32%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

937.09 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

465.59 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

496.08 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234999

238.23 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

478.13 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

247.05 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

371.59 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.53 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +111.53 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2916060 · The Breakout Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 112.27₽ · invest 402.66₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165367 instead of 0.162786

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build