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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +227.00₽

Invest 268.48₽

Average return 495.48₽

ROI +84.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 637.70 ₽, profit at most −142.23 ₽

float premium: at least 353 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

45.09 ₽

at 15.03

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

61.44 ₽

at 30.72

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

161.95 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 268.48 ₽ +227.00 (+84.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

75.15 ₽

at 15.03

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

61.44 ₽

at 30.72

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

97.17 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.76 ₽ +130.39 (+55.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

30.72 ₽

at 30.72

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

226.73 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

162.50 ₽

at 81.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 419.95 ₽ +338.17 (+80.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

60.12 ₽

at 15.03

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

61.44 ₽

at 30.72

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

129.56 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 251.12 ₽ +178.69 (+71.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

2 064.63 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

602.19 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

458.07 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

664.53 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302.47 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

128.96 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

126.22 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

260.78 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

142.78 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +140.83 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +201.31 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2915946 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 275.41₽ · invest 357.22₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075410 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2914481 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 219.00₽ · invest 274.31₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075410 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build