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The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.43$

Invest 6.53$

Average return 10.95$

ROI +67.8%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 15.50 $, profit at most −4.55 $

float premium: at least 9 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1.94 $

at 0.39

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

3.89 $

at 0.97

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

0.70 $

at 0.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.53 $ +4.43 (+67.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.97 $

at 0.97

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

1.40 $

at 0.70

Steam

×7

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

13.20 $

at 1.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.58 $ +4.15 (+26.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

4.86 $

at 0.97

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2.10 $

at 0.70

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3.77 $

at 1.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.74 $ +4.60 (+42.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.39 $

at 0.39

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1.94 $

at 0.97

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1.40 $

at 0.70

Steam

×5

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

9.43 $

at 1.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.17 $ +4.37 (+33.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.16 $

at 0.39

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

4.86 $

at 0.97

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1.40 $

at 0.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.43 $ +4.62 (+62.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 24%
About break-even 22%

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

24.70 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.21 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.48 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.95 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76.09 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

5.98 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.15 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.36 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.15 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.40 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build