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The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −553.85₴

Invest at least 1 563.02₴

Average return 1 009.17₴

ROI −35.4%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 563.02 ₴, profit at most −553.85 ₴

float premium: at least 957 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

31.53 ₴

at 31.53

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

34.49 ₴

at 34.49

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

548.43 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 614.45 ₴ +394.73 (+64.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

94.58 ₴

at 31.53

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

169.56 ₴

at 84.78

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

274.21 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

104.56 ₴

at 104.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 642.91 ₴ +13.36 (+2.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

94.58 ₴

at 31.53

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

107.56 ₴

at 107.56

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

411.32 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 613.46 ₴ +131.05 (+21.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

63.05 ₴

at 31.53

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

55.31 ₴

at 55.31

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

479.87 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 598.24 ₴ +322.72 (+53.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

63.05 ₴

at 31.53

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

46.52 ₴

at 46.52

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

479.87 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 589.45 ₴ +243.28 (+41.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

387.47 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 360.28 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 198.28 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

102.00 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

288.99 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

268.89 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

193.83 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

226.95 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

258.48 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +181.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +298.37 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shattered Web Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2912533 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 431.02₴ · invest 734.04₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2932512 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 423.95₴ · invest 632.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2907014 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 422.33₴ · invest 718.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169802 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076887 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2935919 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 416.15₴ · invest 623.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2934008 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 410.32₴ · invest 645.96₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2941277 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 407.98₴ · invest 653.74₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2936608 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 407.63₴ · invest 620.56₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164540 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075057 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2911215 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 400.71₴ · invest 634.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2936241 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 394.60₴ · invest 749.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.075712

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build