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The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.73$

Invest 11.48$

Average return 16.22$

ROI +41.2%

Chance of profit 65%

With float: invest at least 28.84 $, profit at most −12.62 $

float premium: at least 17 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

8.59 $

at 0.95

Steam

×1

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2.90 $

at 2.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.48 $ +4.73 (+41.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 60%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.31 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.74 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

26.99 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

9.66 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.07 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spy Tech Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2936585 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 5.08$ · invest 11.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2932479 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 5.00$ · invest 11.15$
sells slowly

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2941127 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 4.87$ · invest 10.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build