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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3 655.52₸

Invest 7 309.25₸

Average return 10 964.77₸

ROI +50.0%

Chance of profit 49%

With float: invest at least 18 713.31 ₸, profit at most −7 748.54 ₸

float premium: at least 11 458 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

6 224.17 ₸

at 691.57

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

1 085.08 ₸

at 1 085.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 309.25 ₸ +3 655.52 (+50.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

4 841.02 ₸

at 691.57

Steam

×2

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

2 170.16 ₸

at 1 085.08

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0843

1 761.46 ₸

at 1 761.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 772.64 ₸ +1 387.71 (+15.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

4 841.02 ₸

at 691.57

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1 054.86 ₸

at 1 054.86

Steam

×2

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

2 170.16 ₸

at 1 085.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 066.04 ₸ +2 496.55 (+30.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 51%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

3 908.88 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

33 898.97 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

12 088.47 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 391.89 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 321.90 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

15 645.68 ₸ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

17 264.67 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

5 212.66 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 787.50 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 378.10 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 629.69 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2941278 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 3 659.82₸ · invest 7 231.66₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074153 instead of 0.077067
Craft 2941291 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 3 307.66₸ · invest 7 645.51₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076762 instead of 0.077067

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build