The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −1 475.53₴

Invest 15 874.34₴

Average return 14 398.81₴

ROI −9.3%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 36 439.98 ₴, profit at most −22 041.17 ₴

float premium: at least 20 218 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −3 539.05 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

10 494.66 ₴

at 2 623.66

Steam

×1

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

5 379.68 ₴

at 5 379.68

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 874.34 ₴ −1 475.53 (−9.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 71%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 049.57 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 103.74 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 370.51 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 946.86 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

18 944.06 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 925.51 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 847.44 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 680.37 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 881.54 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 372.98 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 890.04 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

66 023.56 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

35 362.18 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

76 216.99 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

67 880.09 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

55 964.98 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

29 849.04 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 597.79 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

5 078.27 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

8 249.77 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

10 350.02 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 619.18 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 875.44 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 245.08 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

2 874.61 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 809.46 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

5 080.20 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

3 282.22 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2 074.60 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 271.95 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 274.91 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 788.40 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

7 193.05 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 621.41 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2 921.53 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 551.93 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 042.22 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

7 191.21 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

8 066.90 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 653.33 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 401.57 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 10 494.66 → 24 819.87 ₴

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 379.68 → 11 620.11 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 847.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1 633.15 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2942071 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −1 475.53₴ · invest 15 874.34₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build