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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −60.61₴

Invest at least 643.74₴

Average return 583.12₴

ROI −9.4%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 643.74 ₴, profit at most −60.61 ₴

float premium: at least 371 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +385.91 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

90.05 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

52.94 ₴

at 26.47

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

132.68 ₴

at 33.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 275.66 ₴ +307.46 (+111.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

90.05 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

474.83 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

26.47 ₴

at 26.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 591.34 ₴ +385.91 (+65.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

90.05 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

379.87 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

52.94 ₴

at 26.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 522.85 ₴ +375.58 (+71.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 15%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

140.33 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

564.01 ₴ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

301.54 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

226.08 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

520.32 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 431.92 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

691.24 ₴ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +207.81 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +267.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951631 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 310.91₴ · invest 342.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2952145 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 302.26₴ · invest 618.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2951813 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 296.21₴ · invest 324.12₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2951733 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 290.61₴ · invest 256.93₴
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075931 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2952146 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 290.09₴ · invest 544.25₴
rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2951705 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 288.67₴ · invest 465.39₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2951812 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 272.71₴ · invest 348.48₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2952034 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 265.76₴ · invest 293.63₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075688 instead of 0.074225
Craft 2951932 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 259.31₴ · invest 293.02₴
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075205 instead of 0.074225; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075205 instead of 0.074225; MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 4; MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New): float at most 0.004554 instead of 0.003697

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build