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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +487.69₽

Invest 538.83₽

Average return 1 026.52₽

ROI +90.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 1 251.42 ₽, profit at most −224.91 ₽

float premium: at least 711 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +632.90 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

123.93 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

94.26 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

320.64 ₽

at 80.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 538.83 ₽ +487.69 (+90.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −169 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

41.31 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

188.52 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

240.48 ₽

at 80.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 470.31 ₽ +359.48 (+76.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −60 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

82.62 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

275.70 ₽

at 45.95

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

160.32 ₽

at 80.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 518.64 ₽ +409.51 (+79.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

165.24 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

91.90 ₽

at 45.95

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

320.64 ₽

at 80.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 577.78 ₽ +547.10 (+94.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

206.55 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

697.08 ₽

at 174.27

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

80.16 ₽

at 80.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 983.79 ₽ +632.90 (+64.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 044.58 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

210.97 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

453.82 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

655.20 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

954.83 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

4 462.74 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

499.36 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +315.36 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +414.74 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951631 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 570.54₽ · invest 628.02₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2951931 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 564.21₽ · invest 505.86₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074225 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2952145 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 554.68₽ · invest 1 135.59₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2951813 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 543.56₽ · invest 594.79₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2951733 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 533.28₽ · invest 471.48₽
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075931 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2952146 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 532.33₽ · invest 998.73₽
rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2951705 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 529.72₽ · invest 854.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2951812 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 500.44₽ · invest 639.49₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.075688
Craft 2951932 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 475.86₽ · invest 537.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075205 instead of 0.075688

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build