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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −248.30₴

Invest at least 1 135.35₴

Average return 887.04₴

ROI −21.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 135.35 ₴, profit at most −248.30 ₴

float premium: at least 661 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

135.07 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

284.90 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

70.58 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 490.55 ₴ +396.50 (+80.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

135.07 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

94.97 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

70.58 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

×2

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

201.95 ₴

at 100.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 502.57 ₴ +289.38 (+57.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

135.07 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

189.93 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

70.58 ₴

at 70.58

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

100.98 ₴

at 100.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 496.56 ₴ +342.94 (+69.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

520.32 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 431.92 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

272.12 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094999

328.84 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

1 116.01 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

378.62 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

288.37 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +259.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +323.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951499 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 410.45₴ · invest 459.92₴
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075569; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.004873
Craft 2952118 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 408.28₴ · invest 454.69₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075569; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.004873
Craft 2952096 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 407.51₴ · invest 463.04₴
MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075569; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.004873
Craft 2951886 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 403.61₴ · invest 487.10₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075569; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.004873
Craft 2952144 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 389.06₴ · invest 479.77₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075569; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.004873
Craft 2951781 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 381.47₴ · invest 527.38₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078552 instead of 0.075569; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.007483 instead of 0.004873
Craft 2951895 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 371.15₴ · invest 511.97₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Tread (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075569; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.004873

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build