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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −80.76₽

Invest at least 247.38₽

Average return 166.62₽

ROI −32.6%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 247.38 ₽, profit at most −80.76 ₽

float premium: at least 134 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +82.42 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

88.38 ₽

at 14.73

souvenirSteam

×4

P90 | Sand Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

10.80 ₽

at 2.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.18 ₽ +67.44 (+68.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0011

44.19 ₽

at 14.73

souvenirSteam

×5

P90 | Sand Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

13.50 ₽

at 2.70

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

115.98 ₽

at 57.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.67 ₽ +1.79 (+1.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 69%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 23%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

126.20 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

283.22 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

119.67 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

183.10 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

482.80 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

230.40 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

210.83 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

about break-even

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111.71 ₽ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

24.03 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Harlequin Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.78 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +51.27 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2950820 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 89.51₽ · invest 34.55₽
sells slowly

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Factory New); P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078697 instead of 0.078557
Craft 2953435 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 77.59₽ · invest 74.40₽
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Factory New); P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078697 instead of 0.078557

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build