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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −43.65₸

Invest 525.82₸

Average return 482.18₸

ROI −8.3%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest 525.82 ₸, profit −43.65 ₸

float premium: 7 ₸ (1.4%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +280.56 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈23% of lots fit ≈ enough for 53 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1288

118.43 ₸

at 59.21

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0514

241.39 ₸

at 80.46

souvenirSteam

×5

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1288

97.78 ₸

at 19.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 457.60 ₸ +24.58 (+5.4%)

≈39% of lots fit ≈ enough for 93 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1345

59.21 ₸

at 59.21

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0565

402.32 ₸

at 80.46

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1345

78.22 ₸

at 19.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 539.75 ₸ +15.13 (+2.8%)

≈26% of lots fit ≈ enough for 48 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1297

118.43 ₸

at 59.21

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0523

160.93 ₸

at 80.46

souvenirSteam

×6

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1297

117.34 ₸

at 19.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 396.69 ₸ +12.78 (+3.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

305.90 ₸

at 43.70

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

160.93 ₸

at 80.46

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

19.56 ₸

at 19.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 486.38 ₸ +286.62 (+58.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

689.37 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

1 547.10 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

653.70 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

1 000.19 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

385.27 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.036486

189.22 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

50.80 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

49.76 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Ash Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.054729

89.09 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.014594

54.35 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −62.27 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −14.37 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build