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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −39 503.11₽

Invest at least 73 030.89₽

Average return 33 527.77₽

ROI −54.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 73 030.89 ₽, profit at most −39 503.11 ₽

float premium: at least 40 613 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 574.63 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0806

12 546.40 ₽

at 12 546.40

souvenirSteam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0806

11 723.04 ₽

at 1 674.72

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0092

7 256.52 ₽

at 3 628.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 525.96 ₽ +2 001.81 (+6.3%)

What you get 2 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 604.48 ₽ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Desert Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

97 718.77 ₽ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 612.87 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +708.90 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2957373 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2 064.73₽ · invest 29 989.16₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078144 instead of 0.080601; Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New): float at most 0.007126 instead of 0.009276

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 2 outcomes

More

How to build