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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +19.19₴

Invest 21.51₴

Average return 40.70₴

ROI +89.2%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 51.86 ₴, profit at most −11.16 ₴

float premium: at least 21 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +24.73 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1520

2.17 ₴

at 2.17

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

13.57 ₴

at 2.71

souvenirSteam

×4

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0002

5.78 ₴

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.51 ₴ +19.19 (+89.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

6.51 ₴

at 2.17

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

2.71 ₴

at 2.71

souvenirSteam

×6

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

8.66 ₴

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.88 ₴ +10.56 (+59.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1611

6.33 ₴

at 2.11

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | BorDeux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

1.36 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×6

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

8.66 ₴

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.35 ₴ +5.96 (+36.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1601

4.34 ₴

at 2.17

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

8.14 ₴

at 2.71

souvenirSteam

×5

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0030

7.22 ₴

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.70 ₴ +14.87 (+75.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1570

2.11 ₴

at 2.11

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1570

2.17 ₴

at 2.17

souvenirSteam

×5

Dual Berettas | BorDeux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

6.78 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×3

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0021

4.33 ₴

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.39 ₴ +0.78 (+5.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.054920

61.60 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

69.50 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

107.86 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.051624

61.04 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Grey Ghost

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.16 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | O-Ranger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082380

2.93 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | Steel Work

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076888

2.40 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Sedimentary

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074691

2.53 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

5.87 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Citric Acid

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

6.17 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.76 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2953250 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 19.19₴ · invest 22.12₴
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested): float at most 0.154947 instead of 0.152085

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build