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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +12.18₸

Invest 192.39₸

Average return 204.57₸

ROI +6.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 465.30 ₸, profit at most −260.73 ₸

float premium: at least 229 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +19.94 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1602

21.14 ₸

at 21.14

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

130.45 ₸

at 21.74

souvenirSteam

×3

Five-SeveN | Forest Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1602

40.81 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 192.39 ₸ +12.18 (+6.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1546

43.48 ₸

at 21.74

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

158.69 ₸

at 22.67

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

19.56 ₸

at 19.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.72 ₸ +26.77 (+12.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

285.20 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

348.35 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

361.89 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

248.82 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

64.18 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

91.55 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

50.80 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

49.76 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Ash Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

39.22 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

54.35 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −37.80 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4.81 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build