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The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +29.26₴

Invest 289.69₴

Average return 318.95₴

ROI +10.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 694.45 ₴, profit at most −375.51 ₴

float premium: at least 374 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

89.91 ₴

at 89.91

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

159.82 ₴

at 19.98

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

39.95 ₴

at 39.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 289.69 ₴ +29.26 (+10.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

365.17 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

311.34 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

332.14 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.065999

1 556.90 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

363.27 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

430.41 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086999

415.17 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

443.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.07 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.57 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2958739 · The Arabesque Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 28.78₴ · invest 272.43₴
SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163149 instead of 0.162694; Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074573 instead of 0.074415
Craft 2959036 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 28.59₴ · invest 263.02₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170478 instead of 0.162694; Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077123 instead of 0.074415

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build