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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7.54$

Invest 25.73$

Average return 33.27$

ROI +29.3%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 63.72 $, profit at most −30.45 $

float premium: at least 38 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

8.43 $

at 8.43

Steam

×9

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

17.31 $

at 1.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.73 $ +7.54 (+29.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

16.86 $

at 8.43

Steam

×1

P90 | Chopper

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.87 $

at 1.87

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

13.46 $

at 1.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.19 $ +3.32 (+10.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044099

25.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Desolate Space

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

13.47 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

51.75 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

70.91 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.33 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2978203 · The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.35$ · invest 24.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074296

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build