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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −57.49$

Invest at least 113.78$

Average return 56.28$

ROI −50.5%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 113.78 $, profit at most −57.49 $

float premium: at least 66 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

7.66 $

at 7.66

Steam

×8

M4A1-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

31.28 $

at 3.91

Steam

×1

Nova | Gila

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

7.51 $

at 7.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.45 $ +9.84 (+21.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

22.98 $

at 7.66

Steam

×1

USP-S | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

3.62 $

at 3.62

Steam

×6

M4A1-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

23.46 $

at 3.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.06 $ +0.79 (+1.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

FAMAS | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132.25 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

35.96 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

35.34 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

36.22 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Undertow

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

37.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2954290 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 9.21$ · invest 48.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170459 instead of 0.168982; Nova | Gila (Factory New): float at most 0.006226 instead of 0.005777

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build