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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −755.14₴

Invest at least 1 556.45₴

Average return 801.31₴

ROI −48.5%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 1 556.45 ₴, profit at most −755.14 ₴

float premium: at least 914 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

248.58 ₴

at 248.58

Steam

×9

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

387.65 ₴

at 43.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 636.23 ₴ +165.08 (+25.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

177.10 ₴

at 177.10

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

248.58 ₴

at 248.58

Steam

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

301.50 ₴

at 43.07

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

93.18 ₴

at 93.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 820.38 ₴ +65.92 (+8.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 258.29 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

586.66 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

626.37 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

304.43 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

4 145.43 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

659.31 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

2 095.31 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +131.07 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2955668 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 171.24₴ · invest 680.87₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074647
Craft 2988666 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 155.89₴ · invest 562.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076315 instead of 0.074647

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build