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The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +20.24₴

Invest 256.70₴

Average return 276.94₴

ROI +7.9%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 601.46 ₴, profit at most −324.52 ₴

float premium: at least 326 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +27.08 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

123.07 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

78.47 ₴

at 39.24

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

27.37 ₴

at 27.37

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

27.79 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.70 ₴ +20.24 (+7.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

134.77 ₴

at 22.46

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

39.24 ₴

at 39.24

Steam

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

83.36 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 257.37 ₴ +6.36 (+2.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

157.24 ₴

at 22.46

Steam

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

78.47 ₴

at 39.24

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

27.37 ₴

at 27.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263.08 ₴ +27.08 (+10.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

451.28 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

246.48 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

261.29 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

87.70 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

345.68 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

243.41 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

46.49 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 123.07 → 308.90 ₴

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 78.47 → 173.42 ₴

UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 27.37 → 59.12 ₴

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 27.79 → 60.02 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.093333233

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.055999, 0.055999, 0.093333, 0.048533, 0.046666, 0.187599

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14.91 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build