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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +1.87$

Invest 75.08$

Average return 76.95$

ROI +2.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 176.66 $, profit at most −99.70 $

float premium: at least 98 $

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4690

19.64 $

at 19.64

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4919

29.68 $

at 5.94

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

25.76 $

at 6.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.08 $ +1.87 (+2.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

75.24 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

76.23 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

207.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.349599

199.72 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.76 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2972907 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1.92$ · invest 68.29$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479041 instead of 0.491947; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162144 instead of 0.167541

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build