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The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +55.36$

Invest 127.85$

Average return 183.21$

ROI +43.3%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 325.04 $, profit at most −141.83 $

float premium: at least 192 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

23.83 $

at 23.83

Steam

×9

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

104.02 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127.85 $ +55.36 (+43.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

71.49 $

at 23.83

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

6.20 $

at 6.20

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

69.34 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.03 $ +46.28 (+31.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

86.94 $

at 21.74

Steam

×5

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

119.15 $

at 23.83

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

6.20 $

at 6.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 212.29 $ +11.36 (+5.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

22.59 $

at 22.59

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

23.83 $

at 23.83

Steam

×8

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

92.46 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.88 $ +49.39 (+35.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

95.32 $

at 23.83

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

12.40 $

at 6.20

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

46.23 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.95 $ +44.43 (+28.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | The Oligarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247.55 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

M4A4 | Full Throttle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

162.19 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

230.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

296.04 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +41.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2978330 · The Genesis Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 58.41$ · invest 140.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2978831 · The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 55.03$ · invest 131.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build