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The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +35.75₽

Invest 200.96₽

Average return 236.71₽

ROI +17.8%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 499.09 ₽, profit at most −262.38 ₽

float premium: at least 291 ₽

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

37.14 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4777

12.62 ₽

at 12.62

Steam

×8

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

151.20 ₽

at 18.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200.96 ₽ +35.75 (+17.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 32%

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

435.22 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

182.16 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261428

219.87 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

207.06 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

204.74 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.064285

236.16 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085714

193.79 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 only The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.65 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.83 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2967597 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 37.17₽ · invest 191.69₽
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482664 instead of 0.477788; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163659 instead of 0.161620
Craft 2984971 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 34.73₽ · invest 206.55₽
UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478182 instead of 0.477788; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161785 instead of 0.161620
Craft 2985364 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.95₽ · invest 191.74₽
MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483359 instead of 0.477788; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163950 instead of 0.161620

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build