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The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5 900.79₸

Invest at least 23 335.38₸

Average return 17 434.54₸

ROI −25.3%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 23 335.38 ₸, profit at most −5 900.79 ₸

float premium: at least 13 212 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +9 859.43 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

886.68 ₸

at 443.34

Steam

×3

M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

3 121.34 ₸

at 1 040.45

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

5 798.20 ₸

at 1 159.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 806.23 ₸ +7 628.31 (+77.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

2 080.90 ₸

at 1 040.45

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

8 117.48 ₸

at 1 159.64

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

2 482.01 ₸

at 2 482.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 680.39 ₸ +9 664.31 (+76.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

1 040.45 ₸

at 1 040.45

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

8 117.48 ₸

at 1 159.64

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

4 964.02 ₸

at 2 482.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 121.95 ₸ +9 859.43 (+69.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 287 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

1 773.36 ₸

at 443.34

Steam

×4

M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

4 161.79 ₸

at 1 040.45

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

2 319.28 ₸

at 1 159.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 254.43 ₸ +4 269.95 (+51.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 17%

at a loss

AUG | Death by Puppy

Factory New

float up to 0.023529

5 184.32 ₸ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

22 132.75 ₸ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

float up to 0.033529

4 598.80 ₸ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55 923.31 ₸ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

21 095.75 ₸ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

11 363.43 ₸ 16.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 842.48 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 842.80 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2987606 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 9 630.31₸ · invest 9 580.02₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear), M249 | Aztec (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.074617
Craft 2977415 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 228.86₸ · invest 10 077.93₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear), M249 | Aztec (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074617
Craft 2974934 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 7 702.19₸ · invest 8 533.40₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear), M249 | Aztec (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075215 instead of 0.074617

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build