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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.69$

Invest 2.40$

Average return 4.09$

ROI +70.2%

Chance of profit 94%

With float: invest at least 6.16 $, profit at most −2.07 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

0.34 $

at 0.34

Steam

×9

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

2.06 $

at 0.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.40 $ +1.69 (+70.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 6%
About break-even 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.06 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.17 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.98 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.02 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.42 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

1.72 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2.00 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

4.52 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

2.23 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2.85 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.23 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2963555 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.78$ · invest 2.60$
SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.074729
Craft 2971137 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 1.76$ · invest 2.55$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.074729
Craft 2971240 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1.74$ · invest 3.08$
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074729
Craft 2971425 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1.66$ · invest 2.79$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.074729
Craft 2968455 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.65$ · invest 2.42$
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.074729

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build