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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +66.13₴

Invest 150.83₴

Average return 216.96₴

ROI +43.8%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 356.09 ₴, profit at most −139.13 ₴

float premium: at least 192 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

68.83 ₴

at 11.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

62.11 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

19.90 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 150.83 ₴ +66.13 (+43.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

57.35 ₴

at 11.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

62.11 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

39.79 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.25 ₴ +59.73 (+37.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

45.88 ₴

at 11.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

62.11 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

59.69 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.68 ₴ +53.32 (+31.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

34.41 ₴

at 11.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

62.11 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

79.58 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.10 ₴ +46.92 (+26.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

22.94 ₴

at 11.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

62.11 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

99.48 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.53 ₴ +40.52 (+22.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

315.52 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

160.91 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

418.77 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

187.53 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

153.14 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

152.08 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

181.04 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072799

611.54 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

304.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.211399

103.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +40.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +61.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971783 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 64.64₴ · invest 147.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166166 instead of 0.167405; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075623 instead of 0.076054
Craft 2962552 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 61.18₴ · invest 148.57₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 2967772 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 60.33₴ · invest 169.95₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build