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The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −68.49₴

Invest at least 182.18₴

Average return 113.70₴

ROI −37.6%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 182.18 ₴, profit at most −68.49 ₴

float premium: at least 103 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +70.08 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

26.84 ₴

at 5.37

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

46.92 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.76 ₴ +39.94 (+54.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

248.37 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

176.90 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

45.67 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

51.29 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

59.68 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

45.13 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

42.55 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26.28 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.86 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2956205 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 46.11₴ · invest 83.70₴
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162162 instead of 0.176470
Craft 2978283 · The Genesis Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 42.47₴ · invest 71.14₴
P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build