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The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 263.54₴

Invest 1 563.10₴

Average return 2 826.64₴

ROI +80.8%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 3 598.60 ₴, profit at most −771.95 ₴

float premium: at least 1 929 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 607.44 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

726.55 ₴

at 181.64

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

203.41 ₴

at 50.85

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

633.13 ₴

at 316.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 563.10 ₴ +1 263.54 (+80.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1 453.10 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 830.64 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

912.07 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 482.22 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 014.02 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 089.83 ₴ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +774.89 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 106.34 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980894 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1 321.60₴ · invest 1 484.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182066 instead of 0.165540; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.002011 instead of 0.004729
Craft 2950981 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 253.27₴ · invest 2 064.29₴
sells slowly

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.165540; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 2; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004967 instead of 0.004729
Craft 2980786 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 1 250.32₴ · invest 1 778.13₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163829 instead of 0.165540; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004209 instead of 0.004729

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build