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The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +151.46₽

Invest 334.66₽

Average return 486.12₽

ROI +45.3%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 788.05 ₽, profit at most −301.93 ₽

float premium: at least 425 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +366.00 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

151.60 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

120.00 ₽

at 120.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 334.66 ₽ +151.46 (+45.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −926 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

120.00 ₽

at 120.00

Steam

×8

M249 | Deep Relief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

985.52 ₽

at 123.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 168.58 ₽ +366.00 (+31.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −809 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

18.95 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

120.00 ₽

at 120.00

Steam

×7

M249 | Deep Relief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

862.33 ₽

at 123.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 064.34 ₽ +339.18 (+31.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −692 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

37.90 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

120.00 ₽

at 120.00

Steam

×6

M249 | Deep Relief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

739.14 ₽

at 123.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 960.10 ₽ +312.37 (+32.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −576 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

56.85 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

120.00 ₽

at 120.00

Steam

×5

M249 | Deep Relief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

615.95 ₽

at 123.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 855.86 ₽ +285.55 (+33.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

345.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

578.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

366.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Exoskeleton

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 067.40 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Dezastre

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 881.05 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Clear Polymer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 877.12 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Parallax

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 323.35 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1 428.50 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +95.21 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +139.19 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971825 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 157.31₽ · invest 293.70₽
MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075185; UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.004536
Craft 2971837 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 155.42₽ · invest 263.20₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074526 instead of 0.075185; UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New): float at most 0.003960 instead of 0.004536
Craft 2958583 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 150.10₽ · invest 287.98₽
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075185; UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.004536

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build