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The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +135.62₽

Invest 4 306.77₽

Average return 4 442.39₽

ROI +3.1%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 10 323.56 ₽, profit at most −5 881.17 ₽

float premium: at least 5 732 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4790

2 492.00 ₽

at 356.00

Steam

×2

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

981.12 ₽

at 490.56

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

833.65 ₽

at 833.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 306.77 ₽ +135.62 (+3.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 638.51 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 133.63 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Chameleon

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

6 431.55 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.491599

7 794.22 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −431.90 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +40.61 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971636 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 148.75₽ · invest 4 329.21₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483935 instead of 0.479019; P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164191 instead of 0.162135

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build