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The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −215.08₽

Invest at least 633.70₽

Average return 418.62₽

ROI −33.9%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 633.70 ₽, profit at most −215.08 ₽

float premium: at least 352 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +305.64 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

151.60 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

48.54 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263.20 ₽ +155.42 (+59.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −40 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

48.54 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

509.76 ₽

at 63.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 621.36 ₽ +305.64 (+49.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

113.70 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

48.54 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

127.44 ₽

at 63.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 352.74 ₽ +192.97 (+54.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

132.65 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

63.06 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

48.54 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

63.72 ₽

at 63.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 307.97 ₽ +174.19 (+56.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

126.12 ₽

at 63.06

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

194.16 ₽

at 48.54

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

254.88 ₽

at 63.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 575.16 ₽ +288.29 (+50.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

345.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

578.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

366.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

696.46 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 325.00 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

1 395.93 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +107.51 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +145.43 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971825 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 157.31₽ · invest 293.70₽
MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074526; UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.003960
Craft 2971338 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 151.46₽ · invest 334.66₽
outcome without sales rare inputs

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074526; UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New): float at most 0.004536 instead of 0.003960
Craft 2958583 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 150.10₽ · invest 287.98₽
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074526; UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.003960

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build