to all crafts

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +3 109.27₸

Invest 32 316.82₸

Average return 35 426.10₸

ROI +9.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 77 008.63 ₸, profit at most −41 582.53 ₸

float premium: at least 40 850 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +8 692.31 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0815

3 438.72 ₸

at 3 438.72

Steam

×5

P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

12 231.15 ₸

at 2 446.23

Steam

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

16 646.95 ₸

at 4 161.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 316.82 ₸ +3 109.27 (+9.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

28 571.88 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

50 499.89 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 623.12 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

48 530.87 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 442.82 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 758.39 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2986351 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2 854.55₸ · invest 32 216.53₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080227 instead of 0.079753; P250 | Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.008949 instead of 0.008534

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build