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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −323.62₽

Invest at least 645.71₽

Average return 322.09₽

ROI −50.1%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 645.71 ₽, profit at most −323.62 ₽

float premium: at least 370 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

120.21 ₽

at 120.21

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

146.79 ₽

at 16.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 267.00 ₽ +55.09 (+20.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

60.91 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

120.21 ₽

at 120.21

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

130.48 ₽

at 16.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 311.60 ₽ +34.09 (+10.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.041975

368.77 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058839

426.49 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

158.55 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

465.99 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

296.53 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.044184

439.03 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

332.23 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.038293

1 554.39 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.036820

558.16 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.177557

189.52 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.82 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +46.45 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build