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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +364.19₸

Invest 24 435.43₸

Average return 24 799.62₸

ROI +1.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 56 738.32 ₸, profit at most −31 938.76 ₸

float premium: at least 30 171 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +844.29 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

8 707.71 ₸

at 2 176.93

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

8 944.13 ₸

at 2 236.03

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 783.59 ₸

at 3 391.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 435.43 ₸ +364.19 (+1.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

4 353.86 ₸

at 2 176.93

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

13 416.19 ₸

at 2 236.03

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 783.59 ₸

at 3 391.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 553.64 ₸ +684.24 (+2.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

6 530.78 ₸

at 2 176.93

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

11 180.16 ₸

at 2 236.03

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 783.59 ₸

at 3 391.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 494.53 ₸ +524.18 (+2.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

10 884.64 ₸

at 2 176.93

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

6 708.10 ₸

at 2 236.03

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 783.59 ₸

at 3 391.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 376.32 ₸ +204.13 (+0.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

13 061.57 ₸

at 2 176.93

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

4 472.06 ₸

at 2 236.03

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 783.59 ₸

at 3 391.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 317.22 ₸ +44.08 (+0.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

32 500.15 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

26 555.00 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

29 072.03 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

24 942.95 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 715.15 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −459.45 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build