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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −492.37₽

Invest at least 952.00₽

Average return 459.63₽

ROI −51.7%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 952.00 ₽, profit at most −492.37 ₽

float premium: at least 540 ₽

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

32% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

any lot

65.20 ₽

at 65.20

Steam

×9

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1722

338.76 ₽

at 37.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 403.96 ₽ +55.67 (+13.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3888

65.20 ₽

at 65.20

Steam

×6

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1790

481.14 ₽

at 80.19

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1790

112.92 ₽

at 37.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 659.26 ₽ +45.27 (+6.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3888

65.20 ₽

at 65.20

Steam

×7

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1790

561.33 ₽

at 80.19

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1790

75.28 ₽

at 37.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 701.81 ₽ +43.54 (+6.2%)

2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

any lot

65.20 ₽

at 65.20

Steam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1842

80.19 ₽

at 80.19

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

301.12 ₽

at 37.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 446.51 ₽ +53.94 (+12.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 37%

in profit

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

567.68 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145999

496.29 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

380.93 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

395.85 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.063999

2 071.34 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

385.91 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.35 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.00 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971043 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 54.63₽ · invest 394.00₽
Galil AR | Galigator (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn); MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167557 instead of 0.172222

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build