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The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +66.91₴

Invest 265.21₴

Average return 332.12₴

ROI +25.2%

Chance of profit 88%

With float: invest at least 617.74 ₴, profit at most −285.62 ₴

float premium: at least 346 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

55.57 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

100.68 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

108.96 ₴

at 36.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 265.21 ₴ +66.91 (+25.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

27.37 ₴

at 27.37

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

100.68 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

145.28 ₴

at 36.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.33 ₴ +62.67 (+22.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

27.37 ₴

at 27.37

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

55.57 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

80.54 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

108.96 ₴

at 36.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 272.45 ₴ +55.79 (+20.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

54.74 ₴

at 27.37

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

55.57 ₴

at 27.79

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

60.41 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

108.96 ₴

at 36.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 279.68 ₴ +44.66 (+16.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 88%
Losing outcome 12%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

393.30 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

388.45 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

261.29 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

834.05 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

345.68 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

243.41 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

46.49 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26.14 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.43 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2974500 · The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 77.13₴ · invest 207.57₴
P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080487 instead of 0.074573; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): float at most 0.003681 instead of 0.004001
Craft 2980157 · The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 68.19₴ · invest 242.87₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076043 instead of 0.074573; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 3; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): float at most 0.005287 instead of 0.004001
Craft 2976175 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 61.46₴ · invest 200.52₴
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074981 instead of 0.074573; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 3; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): float at most 0.004358 instead of 0.004001

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build