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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +31.65$

Invest 40.60$

Average return 72.25$

ROI +78.0%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 99.00 $, profit at most −26.76 $

float premium: at least 54 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +33.53 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

2.14 $

at 1.07

Steam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1820

3.38 $

at 1.13

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

35.07 $

at 7.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.60 $ +31.65 (+78.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 73%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

32.20 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.00 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20.21 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.51 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

25.01 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.13 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.92 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27.29 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980604 · The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 37.78$ · invest 45.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2980506 · The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 36.90$ · invest 49.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2978926 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 34.23$ · invest 47.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003595 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2980639 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 34.12$ · invest 40.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162152 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003698 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2980716 · The Horizon Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 33.76$ · invest 42.22$
sells slowly

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2980850 · The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 32.59$ · invest 47.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004967 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2980623 · The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 32.00$ · invest 46.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163799 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004199 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2980995 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 31.04$ · invest 43.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162730 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003874 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2967983 · The Chroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 30.35$ · invest 40.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2980831 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 30.05$ · invest 49.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174047 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003342 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2961369 · The Boreal Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 29.10$ · invest 38.41$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163910 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004233 instead of 0.005006
Craft 2956223 · The Achroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 28.39$ · invest 43.66$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164024 instead of 0.182066; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004268 instead of 0.005006

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build