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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −395.46₴

Invest at least 984.33₴

Average return 588.87₴

ROI −40.2%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 984.33 ₴, profit at most −395.46 ₴

float premium: at least 572 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +505.69 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

48.30 ₴

at 48.30

Steam

×8

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0800

291.30 ₴

at 36.41

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

58.12 ₴

at 58.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 397.72 ₴ +191.15 (+48.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

557.95 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

370.22 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Jawbreaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

944.80 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 196.56 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

1 128.75 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 133.89 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +106.66 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +154.62 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2977769 · The Gamma Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 192.50₴ · invest 436.20₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076721 instead of 0.080079; Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New): float at most 0.005881 instead of 0.004933

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build