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The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +414.55₽

Invest 473.51₽

Average return 888.06₽

ROI +87.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 170.19 ₽, profit at most −282.12 ₽

float premium: at least 715 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

96.42 ₽

at 96.42

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

34.29 ₽

at 34.29

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

342.80 ₽

at 42.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 473.51 ₽ +414.55 (+87.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

50.99 ₽

at 50.99

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

96.42 ₽

at 96.42

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

34.29 ₽

at 34.29

Steam

×7

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

299.95 ₽

at 42.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 481.65 ₽ +369.12 (+76.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

101.98 ₽

at 50.99

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

96.42 ₽

at 96.42

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

34.29 ₽

at 34.29

Steam

×6

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

257.10 ₽

at 42.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 489.79 ₽ +323.68 (+66.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

152.97 ₽

at 50.99

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

96.42 ₽

at 96.42

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

34.29 ₽

at 34.29

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

214.25 ₽

at 42.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 497.93 ₽ +278.25 (+55.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

203.96 ₽

at 50.99

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

96.42 ₽

at 96.42

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

34.29 ₽

at 34.29

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

171.40 ₽

at 42.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 506.07 ₽ +232.82 (+46.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 976.28 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 380.49 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

348.98 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

465.99 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

149.07 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

479.49 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 530.55 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

634.35 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

446.67 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

85.31 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +243.99 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +338.64 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980677 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 451.09₽ · invest 461.52₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2983116 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 450.23₽ · invest 549.16₽
outcome without sales rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2985817 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 427.97₽ · invest 536.72₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2981645 · The Italy Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 413.51₽ · invest 430.75₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2985592 · The Prisma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 406.74₽ · invest 435.00₽
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.074409

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build