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The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −118.77₴

Invest at least 204.39₴

Average return 85.62₴

ROI −58.1%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 204.39 ₴, profit at most −118.77 ₴

float premium: at least 113 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +21.26 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

19.90 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

12.20 ₴

at 4.07

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

53.33 ₴

at 8.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.42 ₴ +0.20 (+0.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

39.79 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

8.13 ₴

at 4.07

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

53.33 ₴

at 8.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.25 ₴ +7.22 (+7.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

59.69 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

3.57 ₴

at 3.57

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

53.33 ₴

at 8.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.58 ₴ +14.74 (+12.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

79.58 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

66.38 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

35.55 ₴

at 8.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 181.52 ₴ +18.35 (+10.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

74.80 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

105.42 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku

Field-Tested

float up to 0.277666

36.33 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98.72 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

45.67 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

239.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

181.04 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

847.05 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

304.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

103.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14.81 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.96 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build