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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −376.03₴

Invest at least 1 995.68₴

Average return 1 619.65₴

ROI −18.8%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 1 995.68 ₴, profit at most −376.03 ₴

float premium: at least 1 111 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +988.84 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

373.01 ₴

at 74.60

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

131.22 ₴

at 65.61

Steam

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

347.05 ₴

at 115.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 851.29 ₴ +768.36 (+90.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

149.20 ₴

at 74.60

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

809.79 ₴

at 115.68

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

247.60 ₴

at 247.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 206.60 ₴ +974.64 (+80.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

74.60 ₴

at 74.60

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

809.79 ₴

at 115.68

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

495.21 ₴

at 247.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 379.60 ₴ +988.84 (+71.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

298.41 ₴

at 74.60

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

65.61 ₴

at 65.61

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

578.42 ₴

at 115.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 942.44 ₴ +864.41 (+91.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

228.47 ₴

at 45.69

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

298.41 ₴

at 74.60

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

65.61 ₴

at 65.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 592.48 ₴ +278.37 (+47.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

827.72 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

882.66 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

648.24 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 578.87 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

2 104.50 ₴ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

1 133.61 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +526.13 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +696.20 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2987606 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 960.71₴ · invest 955.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163464 instead of 0.164994; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.075215
Craft 2977415 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 920.66₴ · invest 1 005.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162032 instead of 0.164994; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.075215
Craft 2964238 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 761.00₴ · invest 978.26₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear), M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074617 instead of 0.075215

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build