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The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +0.49$

Invest 6.95$

Average return 7.44$

ROI +7.1%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 16.63 $, profit at most −9.19 $

float premium: at least 9 $

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈4% of lots fit: the price is understated

×7

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

3.18 $

at 0.45

Steam

×3

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1948

3.77 $

at 1.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.95 $ +0.49 (+7.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Tec-9 | Brother

Well-Worn

any lot

0.44 $

at 0.44

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

3.64 $

at 0.45

Steam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

1.26 $

at 1.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.33 $ +0.52 (+9.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

14.96 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6.86 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145999

5.99 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

4.60 $ 23.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.25 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build