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The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −45.37$

Invest at least 174.92$

Average return 129.56$

ROI −25.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 174.92 $, profit at most −45.37 $

float premium: at least 99 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +85.78 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

38.56 $

at 6.43

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

22.14 $

at 7.38

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

13.01 $

at 13.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.71 $ +55.85 (+75.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

25.71 $

at 6.43

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

7.38 $

at 7.38

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

65.03 $

at 13.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.12 $ +68.00 (+69.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

32.14 $

at 6.43

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

14.76 $

at 7.38

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

39.02 $

at 13.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.92 $ +61.92 (+72.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

6.43 $

at 6.43

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

104.05 $

at 13.01

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

29.18 $

at 29.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.66 $ +81.30 (+58.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

53.98 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

75.81 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

269.70 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

280.56 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +31.81 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +46.70 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2982133 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 63.01$ · invest 94.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179671 instead of 0.166579; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076833 instead of 0.075766
Craft 2974947 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 52.31$ · invest 111.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 1; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079442 instead of 0.075766
Craft 2969231 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 50.92$ · invest 88.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168467 instead of 0.166579; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076423 instead of 0.075766

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build