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The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7.35$

Invest 24.77$

Average return 32.12$

ROI +29.7%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 61.64 $, profit at most −29.52 $

float premium: at least 37 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

17.31 $

at 1.92

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

7.46 $

at 7.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.77 $ +7.35 (+29.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

13.46 $

at 1.92

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5.79 $

at 5.79

Steam

×2

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

14.93 $

at 7.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.18 $ +0.09 (+0.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Reboot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1.44 $

at 1.44

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

13.46 $

at 1.92

Steam

×2

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

14.93 $

at 7.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.83 $ +3.36 (+11.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044099

25.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Desolate Space

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

13.47 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120999

59.98 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

56.20 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28.07 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2959154 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 7.54$ · invest 25.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074296 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build